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Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
KN

Iceland
vs.
Kosovo

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Kosovo 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Kosovo 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Iceland 1-1 Kosovo (Kosovo win 3-2 on aggregate)

We certainly anticipate a tight contest between two resilient sides with quality in their ranks on Sunday. With a slender lead to defend, Kosovo should have enough to stay ahead on neutral ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kosovo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Iceland has a probability of 33.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Iceland win is 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.9%).

Result
IcelandDrawKosovo
33.19% (1.653 1.65) 27.24% (0.349 0.35) 39.57% (-2.006 -2.01)
Both teams to score 49.78% (-0.571 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.954 -0.95)55.63% (0.95 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.784 -0.78)76.79% (0.78100000000001 0.78)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (0.64700000000001 0.65)31.37% (-0.65 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (0.742 0.74)67.74% (-0.746 -0.75)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-1.534 -1.53)27.47% (1.53 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-2.021 -2.02)62.96% (2.019 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Iceland 33.19%
    Kosovo 39.56%
    Draw 27.24%
IcelandDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.532 0.53)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.214 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.404 0.4)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.133 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.19%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.312 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.369 -0.37)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kosovo 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Iceland
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 0-2 Iceland
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-4 Turkey
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Wales
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Lithuania
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 3-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Kosovo
Saturday, October 12 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 0-4 Kosovo
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 0-3 Romania
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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