SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Iceland |
64.17% ( 0.01) | 20.9% ( -0.02) | 14.93% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.12) | 47.09% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.11) | 69.33% ( -0.11) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 0.04) | 13.96% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.54% ( 0.08) | 41.45% ( -0.08) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.09) | 43.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.03% ( 0.08) | 79.97% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Iceland |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 64.16% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.93% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
