SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Turkey |
43.57% ( 0.05) | 25.74% ( -0.03) | 30.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.12) | 50.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.1) | 72.24% ( -0.1) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.07) | 22.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% ( 0.1) | 56.78% ( -0.1) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( 0.05) | 30.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( 0.05) | 66.56% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iceland | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.7% |
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