SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Romania had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Romania |
41.35% ( 0.01) | 27.77% ( 0.02) | 30.88% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% ( -0.09) | 58.14% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( -0.07) | 78.8% ( 0.07) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.04) | 27.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( -0.05) | 63.21% ( 0.05) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( -0.07) | 34.29% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.01% ( -0.07) | 70.99% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.88% |
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