SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
23.29% ( -0.08) | 24.85% ( -0.02) | 51.86% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.02) | 51.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( -0.01) | 73.37% ( 0.02) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( -0.08) | 36.98% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.23% ( -0.09) | 73.76% ( 0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 0.03) | 19.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.01% ( 0.05) | 51.99% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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