SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Maidstone United |
52.03% ( 0.02) | 24.34% ( -0.01) | 23.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( 0.02) | 49.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( 0.02) | 71.29% ( -0.02) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( 0.02) | 18.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.62% ( 0.03) | 50.38% ( -0.03) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% | 35.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.86% | 72.14% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.03% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 23.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 44 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 112 | 41 | 71 | 107 |
| 2 | Notts County | 44 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 111 | 39 | 72 | 103 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 44 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 50 | 27 | 81 |
| 4 | Woking | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Barnet | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 74 | 64 | 10 | 73 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 69 |
| 7 | Bromley | 44 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 67 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 44 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 65 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 63 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 17 | 8 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 59 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 57 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 57 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 56 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 56 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 54 |
| 16 | Gateshead | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 44 | 15 | 8 | 21 | 63 | 88 | -25 | 53 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 51 |
| 19 | York City | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 49 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 49 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 46 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 47 | 82 | -35 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 44 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 43 | 95 | -52 | 25 |
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