SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
37.16% ( -0.84) | 24.86% ( -0.04) | 37.98% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.21) | 45.02% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0.2) | 67.37% ( -0.2) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.35) | 23.89% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.91% ( -0.51) | 58.09% ( 0.51) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.56) | 23.45% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.53% ( 0.81) | 57.47% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
| 2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
| 3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
| 5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
| 8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
| 18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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