SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
63.6% ( 0) | 21.19% ( 0.01) | 15.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.04) | 47.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.04) | 69.92% ( 0.04) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( -0.01) | 14.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.8% ( -0.03) | 42.2% ( 0.03) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.19% ( -0.04) | 43.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.04% ( -0.03) | 79.96% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 15.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 33 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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