SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
67.81% ( 0.32) | 18.65% ( -0.27) | 13.54% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.92% ( 1.15) | 40.07% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.56% ( 1.18) | 62.44% ( -1.19) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% ( 0.4) | 10.85% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.05% ( 0.9) | 34.95% ( -0.9) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.66) | 41.44% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.05% ( 0.58) | 77.95% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09)Other @ 4.18% Total : 67.81% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 13.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
| 2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
| 3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
| 5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
| 8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
| 18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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