SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
37.36% ( 0.21) | 25.11% ( 0.12) | 37.52% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( -0.54) | 46.18% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( -0.51) | 68.48% ( 0.52) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.13) | 24.31% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.3% ( -0.19) | 58.69% ( 0.19) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -0.42) | 24.22% ( 0.42) |
