SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
24.77% ( -2.21) | 23.34% ( -0.65) | 51.88% ( 2.85) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.17% ( 1.02) | 43.82% ( -1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( 0.99) | 66.21% ( -0.99) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( -1.2) | 31.44% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.17% ( -1.41) | 67.82% ( 1.41) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( 1.47) | 16.92% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.01% ( 2.54) | 46.99% ( -2.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.77% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.47)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.88% |
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