SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
57.43% ( 0.27) | 24.04% ( -0.11) | 18.53% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.22% ( 0.21) | 53.78% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( 0.18) | 75.26% ( -0.17) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.18) | 18.56% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.18% ( 0.3) | 49.82% ( -0.3) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.79% ( -0.06) | 43.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.53% ( -0.05) | 79.46% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
| 2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
| 4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
| 5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
| 6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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