SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Maidstone United |
59.99% ( 0.14) | 20.71% ( -0.06) | 19.3% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.15) | 38.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( 0.16) | 60.79% ( -0.16) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% ( 0.08) | 12.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.51% ( 0.18) | 38.48% ( -0.18) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.01) | 33.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.94% ( 0.01) | 70.06% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 30 | 58 | 83 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 30 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | Woking | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | Barnet | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Bromley | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 42 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 35 |
| 18 | York City | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 33 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 33 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 32 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 32 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 29 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 22 |
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