SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
47.51% ( 0.08) | 25.19% ( -0.03) | 27.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( 0.08) | 49.8% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( 0.07) | 71.8% ( -0.07) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.06) | 20.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.25% ( 0.1) | 53.74% ( -0.1) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.85% ( 0) | 69.15% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
