SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Yeovil Town |
66.89% ( -0.17) | 19.44% ( 0.06) | 13.67% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( 0) | 43.39% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0) | 65.79% ( 0) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( -0.05) | 12.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.46% ( -0.1) | 37.54% ( 0.11) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.65% ( 0.18) | 43.35% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.41% ( 0.15) | 79.59% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 19.44% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 13.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 42 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 103 |
| 2 | Notts County | 43 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 108 | 39 | 69 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 76 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 69 | 47 | 22 | 75 |
| 5 | Barnet | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 69 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 65 |
| 8 | Bromley | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 63 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 60 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 53 |
| 14 | Halifax TownHalifax | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 51 |
| 16 | Gateshead | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 49 |
| 17 | York City | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 49 |
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 45 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 43 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 39 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 46 | 80 | -34 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 43 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 25 |
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