SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Chesterfield |
36.3% ( -0.26) | 24.46% ( 0.16) | 39.23% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0.83) | 43.18% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( -0.82) | 65.58% ( 0.82) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.52) | 23.51% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.45% ( -0.75) | 57.54% ( 0.75) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.31) | 22% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.68% ( -0.48) | 55.32% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 62 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 31 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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