SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
33.33% ( -2.62) | 26.44% ( 0.1) | 40.23% ( 2.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.76) | 52.42% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.66) | 74.09% ( 0.66) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( -2) | 29.66% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.28% ( -2.5) | 65.71% ( 2.5) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( 1.03) | 25.61% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.5% ( 1.38) | 60.5% ( -1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.6)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 42 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 106 | 36 | 70 | 100 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 41 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 106 | 39 | 67 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 41 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 75 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 68 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 41 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 62 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 41 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 59 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 53 |
| 14 | York City | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 49 |
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 59 | 86 | -27 | 46 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 41 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 40 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 41 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 39 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 78 | -32 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 42 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 24 |
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