SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
71.61% ( -0.04) | 17.28% ( 0.02) | 11.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.02% ( -0.02) | 39.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.65% ( -0.02) | 62.34% ( 0.02) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.12% ( -0.01) | 9.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.27% ( -0.03) | 32.73% ( 0.04) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.65% ( 0.02) | 45.35% ( -0.02) |
