SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
21.36% ( 0.06) | 23.4% ( 0.01) | 55.23% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.04) | 47.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( 0.04) | 69.91% ( -0.04) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( 0.09) | 36.66% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.55% ( 0.09) | 73.45% ( -0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.01) | 17.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.64% ( -0.02) | 47.35% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| P | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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