SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
55.97% ( 3.02) | 22.61% ( -0.96) | 21.41% ( -2.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( 1.89) | 44.23% ( -1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( 1.81) | 66.6% ( -1.81) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 1.74) | 15.63% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.35% ( 3.14) | 44.64% ( -3.14) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.84) | 34.64% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.64% ( -0.9) | 71.36% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.52)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.38)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 42 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 106 | 36 | 70 | 100 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 41 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 106 | 39 | 67 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 41 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 75 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 68 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 41 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 62 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 41 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 59 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 53 |
| 14 | York City | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 49 |
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 59 | 86 | -27 | 46 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 41 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 40 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 41 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 39 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 78 | -32 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 42 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 24 |
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