SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for York City had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
64.28% ( -0.14) | 19.95% ( 0.02) | 15.77% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.75% ( 0.16) | 41.24% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.17) | 63.64% ( -0.17) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( 0.01) | 12.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.28% ( 0.02) | 37.71% ( -0.02) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.26) | 39.11% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.17% ( 0.24) | 75.83% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 64.27% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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