SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Truro City |
56.19% ( 0.15) | 21.25% ( -0.06) | 22.56% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.18) | 36.49% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.2) | 58.63% ( -0.2) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.1) | 12.95% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.57% ( 0.22) | 39.43% ( -0.22) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( 0.02) | 29.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.78% ( 0.03) | 65.21% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Truro City |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 59 |
| 2 | Worthing | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 46 |
| 3 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 46 |
| 4 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Bath City | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Aveley | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 41 |
| 9 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps. | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 38 |
| 12 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 37 |
| 13 | Slough TownSlough | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 36 |
| 14 | Farnborough TownFarnborough | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 36 |
| 15 | DartfordDartford | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 34 |
| 16 | Truro CityTruro City | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 33 |
| 18 | Weston-super-MareWeston | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 32 |
| 20 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 30 |
| 21 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 24 |
| 22 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 21 |
| 23 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 21 |
| 24 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 27 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 18 |
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