SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | St Albans City |
41.83% ( 0.05) | 24.5% ( -0.01) | 33.67% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( 0.04) | 43.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( 0.04) | 66.23% ( -0.04) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.04) | 21.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.15% ( 0.06) | 53.85% ( -0.06) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0) | 25.3% ( 0.01) |
