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National League South | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Worthing
2 - 2
Truro City
Felix (54'), Pearce (75' pen.)
Woodhouse (63'), Felix (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palmer (3'), Brett (90+5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawTruro City
60.4% (-0.369 -0.37) 20.48% (0.146 0.15) 19.11% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 58.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.27% (-0.342 -0.34)37.73% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.03% (-0.365 -0.37)59.97% (0.365 0.37)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (-0.208 -0.21)12.14% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.26% (-0.439 -0.44)37.73% (0.438 0.44)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.024999999999991 0.02)33.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.025000000000002 0.03)69.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 60.4%
    Truro City 19.11%
    Draw 20.48%
WorthingDrawTruro City
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 60.4%
1-1 @ 9.37% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.44% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 19.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maidstone 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-0 Welling United
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-0 Weymouth
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-3 Truro City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 3-1 Farnborough
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil26185350272359
2Worthing27144957411646
3Hampton & RichmondHampton2613764235746
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2713773933646
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City26128641271444
6Bath City27118846331341
7Aveley27125104034641
8Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd25132104338541
9St Albans CitySt Albans City27132124343041
10Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.28117103637-140
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels28108104038238
12Braintree TownBraintree2610793831737
13Slough TownSlough26106104842636
14Farnborough TownFarnborough279994446-236
15DartfordDartford2797114041-134
16Truro CityTruro City24104103536-134
17Chippenham TownChippenham268993637-133
18Weston-super-MareWeston2595114044-432
19Weymouth2771193540-532
20Taunton TownTaunton Town247982935-630
21Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2866163253-2124
22Welling UnitedWelling United2649133051-2121
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville2763183456-2221
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic27212132747-2018
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