SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
60.72% ( 0.16) | 20.5% ( -0.08) | 18.77% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.65% ( 0.22) | 38.34% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.37% ( 0.23) | 60.62% ( -0.23) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( 0.11) | 12.24% ( -0.12) |
