Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.37) 
