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National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Truro City
Ruff (73')
Winfield (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sanders (68'), Greenslade (74')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Truro City win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawTruro City
59.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.94% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01)44.18% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (0.010000000000005 0.01)14.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)42.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)73.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 59.22%
    Truro City 18.94%
    Draw 21.82%
Chelmsford CityDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 59.22%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.82%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 18.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-2 Chippenham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-2 Truro City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil22145342261647
2Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd2213184133840
3Hampton & RichmondHampton2211653427739
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2211653328539
5Worthing2211474435937
6Aveley2310583428635
7Braintree TownBraintree2297635231234
8Bath City2297639281134
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels239683530533
10Chelmsford CityChelmsford City228863025532
11Farnborough TownFarnborough237973940-130
12Weston-super-MareWeston219393234-230
13DartfordDartford228593533229
14Chippenham TownChippenham227873232029
15St Albans CitySt Albans City2292113237-529
16Taunton TownTaunton Town197752524128
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.237792531-628
18Slough TownSlough207583733426
19Truro CityTruro City207493032-225
20Weymouth225982432-824
21Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2365122941-1223
22Welling UnitedWelling United2248102842-1420
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville2343162851-2315
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic22110112240-1813
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