SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Chelmsford City |
33.47% ( -0.25) | 26.05% ( 0.06) | 40.47% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% ( -0.33) | 50.77% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% ( -0.29) | 72.67% ( 0.28) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.32) | 28.76% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.4) | 64.6% ( 0.39) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.05) | 24.74% ( 0.05) |
