SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
70.02% ( 0.2) | 18.56% ( -0.15) | 11.41% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.51) | 44.99% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.49) | 67.34% ( -0.49) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( 0.2) | 11.65% ( -0.2) |
