Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
3.25) 
-3.39) 
