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National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Dover Athletic
0 - 1
Weston
 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grubb (33')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawWeston-super-Mare
30.9% (0.032 0.03) 24.24% (0.0030000000000001 0) 44.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.89% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)62.21% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)19.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)51.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 30.9%
    Weston-super-Mare 44.86%
    Draw 24.23%
Dover AthleticDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.9%
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 44.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Welling United
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Hampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 4-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil22145342261647
2Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd2213184133840
3Hampton & RichmondHampton2211653427739
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2211653328539
5Worthing2211474435937
6Aveley2310583428635
7Braintree TownBraintree2297635231234
8Bath City2297639281134
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels239683530533
10Chelmsford CityChelmsford City228863025532
11Farnborough TownFarnborough237973940-130
12Weston-super-MareWeston219393234-230
13DartfordDartford228593533229
14Chippenham TownChippenham227873232029
15St Albans CitySt Albans City2292113237-529
16Taunton TownTaunton Town197752524128
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.237792531-628
18Slough TownSlough207583733426
19Truro CityTruro City207493032-225
20Weymouth225982432-824
21Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2365122941-1223
22Welling UnitedWelling United2248102842-1420
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville2343162851-2315
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic22110112240-1813
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