SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Havant & Waterlooville win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
60.61% ( 0.01) | 21.05% ( -0.01) | 18.34% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% ( 0.03) | 41.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.96% ( 0.03) | 64.04% ( -0.03) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.69% ( 0.01) | 13.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.86% ( 0.02) | 40.14% ( -0.02) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.01) | 36.29% ( -0.01) |
