SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
31.75% ( -0.22) | 26% ( -0.27) | 42.24% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% ( 1.04) | 51.03% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% ( 0.9) | 72.89% ( -0.9) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 0.37) | 30.01% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.86% ( 0.45) | 66.14% ( -0.45) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0.71) | 23.95% ( -0.71) |
