SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Farnborough Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Hungerford Town |
54.96% ( 0.12) | 22.65% ( -0.05) | 22.39% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( 0.14) | 43.22% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.14) | 65.62% ( -0.14) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( 0.09) | 15.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.37% ( 0.17) | 44.63% ( -0.17) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( 0.02) | 33.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.23% ( 0.02) | 69.76% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 61 |
| 3 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Oxford CityOxford City | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 55 |
| 5 | Worthing | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Braintree TownBraintree | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 51 |
| 9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 45 |
| 11 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 31 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 13 | Bath City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
| 16 | Slough TownSlough | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 33 |
| 17 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 32 |
| 18 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 32 |
| 19 | Cheshunt | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 27 |
| 20 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 26 |
| 21 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 26 |
| 22 | Concord Rangers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 26 |
| 23 | Weymouth | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 24 |
| 24 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
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