SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Slough Town |
37.12% ( 0.08) | 25.83% ( -0.02) | 37.05% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( 0.08) | 49.4% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( 0.07) | 71.45% ( -0.07) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( 0.08) | 25.92% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.08% ( 0.11) | 60.92% ( -0.11) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( 0.01) | 25.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.02% ( 0.01) | 60.98% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Slough Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 64 |
| 4 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 63 |
| 5 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 36 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 60 |
| 6 | Worthing | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 |
| 7 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 59 |
| 8 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 58 |
| 9 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 55 |
| 10 | Bath City | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 55 |
| 11 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 49 |
| 14 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 44 |
| 15 | Slough TownSlough | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 43 |
| 16 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 42 |
| 17 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 38 |
| 18 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 38 |
| 19 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 20 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 36 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Concord Rangers | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 31 |
| 24 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 29 |
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