SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Southport had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Chester FC |
30.49% ( -0.11) | 26.7% ( -0.1) | 42.81% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( 0.34) | 54.26% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( 0.28) | 75.65% ( -0.28) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.1) | 32.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.11) | 69.07% ( -0.11) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( 0.25) | 25.11% ( -0.26) |
