SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
44.48% ( -0.06) | 25.43% ( 0) | 30.1% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( 0.01) | 49.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( 0.01) | 71.31% ( -0.01) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.02) | 22.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.52% ( -0.03) | 55.48% ( 0.03) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.04) | 30.25% ( -0.04) |
