SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | South Shields |
42.11% ( 0.19) | 26.24% ( 0.15) | 31.65% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( -0.73) | 52.05% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( -0.64) | 73.78% ( 0.64) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( -0.23) | 24.47% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.08% ( -0.32) | 58.92% ( 0.33) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -0.6) | 30.6% ( 0.6) |
