SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scunthorpe United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Brackley Town |
44.86% ( -0.05) | 25.91% ( 0.01) | 29.24% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% ( -0.04) | 51.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% ( -0.04) | 73.43% ( 0.03) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( -0.04) | 22.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.27% ( -0.06) | 56.74% ( 0.06) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( 0) | 32.1% ( -0.01) |
