SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
45.84% ( -1.58) | 26.17% ( 0.16) | 27.99% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( 0.21) | 53.34% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% ( 0.18) | 74.88% ( -0.18) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.64) | 23.22% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.88% ( -0.94) | 57.12% ( 0.94) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( 1.25) | 33.94% ( -1.25) |
