SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Chester FC |
29.58% ( 0.06) | 27.02% ( 0.06) | 43.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( -0.2) | 55.85% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.17) | 76.97% ( 0.17) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( -0.06) | 34.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.27% ( -0.07) | 70.72% ( 0.07) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( -0.15) | 25.53% ( 0.15) |
