Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Southport had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
