SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Banbury United |
51.12% ( 1.79) | 23.73% ( -1.32) | 25.14% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 3.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( 5.19) | 45.23% ( -5.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 4.79) | 67.57% ( -4.79) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( 2.73) | 17.73% ( -2.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.6% ( 4.52) | 48.4% ( -4.52) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( 2.4) | 31.89% ( -2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.66% ( 2.66) | 68.34% ( -2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -1.35) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.57)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.51)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.43)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.32)Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.74) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -1.36)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -1.05) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 25.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fylde | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 80 | 44 | 36 | 95 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 93 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 84 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 69 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 69 |
| 6 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 69 |
| 7 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 75 | 68 | 7 | 68 |
| 8 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 74 | 69 | 5 | 68 |
| 9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 68 | 67 | 1 | 68 |
| 10 | Darlington | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 67 |
| 11 | Buxton | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 67 |
| 12 | Chorley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 66 |
| 13 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 65 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 57 |
| 15 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 68 | 66 | 2 | 56 |
| 16 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 55 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 54 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 50 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 50 |
| R | Kettering TownKettering | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 49 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 48 |
| R | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 46 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 32 |
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