SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
47.38% ( -0.2) | 24.7% ( 0.06) | 27.92% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( -0.16) | 47.35% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( -0.15) | 69.57% ( 0.15) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.15) | 20.05% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.74% ( -0.24) | 52.26% ( 0.24) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.02) | 30.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.87% ( 0.03) | 67.13% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fylde | 45 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 78 | 44 | 34 | 92 |
| 2 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 90 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 45 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 81 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 68 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 45 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 68 |
| 6 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Buxton | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 67 |
| 8 | Chorley | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 66 |
| 9 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 66 |
| 10 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 71 | 65 | 6 | 65 |
| 11 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 65 |
| 12 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 65 |
| 13 | Darlington | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 71 | 64 | 7 | 64 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 55 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 53 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 19 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 50 |
| 20 | Kettering TownKettering | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Blyth Spartans | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 47 |
| 22 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 46 |
| R | Leamington FCLeamington | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 45 |
| R | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 45 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | 72 | -38 | 32 |
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