SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Southport |
61.32% ( -2.25) | 21.17% ( 0.53) | 17.51% ( 1.72) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( 1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( 0.75) | 43.56% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( 0.73) | 65.96% ( -0.73) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( -0.43) | 13.7% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.06% ( -0.87) | 40.94% ( 0.87) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( 2.58) | 38.38% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.86% ( 2.38) | 75.14% ( -2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.7)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.58)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.98% Total : 61.31% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.22% Total : 17.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 46 |
| 2 | Tamworth | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 44 |
| 3 | Chorley | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | South Shields | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 36 |
| 6 | Chester FCChester | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 35 |
| 7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 35 |
| 8 | Brackley Town | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
| 9 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 32 |
| 10 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
| 11 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Warrington Town | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
| 14 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Buxton | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 29 |
| 16 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 29 |
| 17 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 28 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 20 | Rushall Olympic | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 24 |
| 21 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
| 22 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 |
| 23 | Darlington | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 19 |
| 24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 46 | -27 | 14 |
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