SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Southport had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
36.95% ( 5.36) | 25.14% ( -0.02) | 37.9% ( -5.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( 1.16) | 46.32% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( 1.08) | 68.61% ( -1.08) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( 3.76) | 24.6% ( -3.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.9% ( 5) | 59.1% ( -5) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( -2.15) | 24.08% ( 2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.63% ( -3.16) | 58.37% ( 3.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.8)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.89)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.73)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.65)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.37)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.3)Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -1) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 6% ( -1.16)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.57)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.77)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.36)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 46 |
| 2 | Tamworth | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 44 |
| 3 | Chorley | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | South Shields | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 36 |
| 6 | Chester FCChester | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 35 |
| 7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 35 |
| 8 | Brackley Town | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
| 9 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 32 |
| 10 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
| 11 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Warrington Town | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
| 14 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Buxton | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 29 |
| 16 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 29 |
| 17 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 28 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 20 | Rushall Olympic | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 24 |
| 21 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
| 22 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 |
| 23 | Darlington | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 19 |
| 24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 46 | -27 | 14 |
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