SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
52.94% ( 0.23) | 23.84% ( -0.1) | 23.22% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( 0.29) | 47.53% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( 0.27) | 69.74% ( -0.26) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( 0.2) | 17.91% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.3% ( 0.33) | 48.7% ( -0.32) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( 0.05) | 34.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.46% ( 0.05) | 71.54% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tamworth | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 32 |
| 2 | South Shields | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Buxton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 23 |
| 7 | Brackley Town | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | Chester FCChester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Boston UnitedBoston | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | Warrington Town | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Blyth Spartans | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 21 |
| 13 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | SouthportSouthport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
| 16 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
| 17 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 19 |
| 18 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Rushall Olympic | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 17 |
| 21 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
| 22 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 13 |
| 23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 24 | Darlington | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 11 |
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