SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
41.92% ( -6.9) | 25.75% ( 1.06) | 32.33% ( 5.84) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -1.5) | 49.78% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( -1.35) | 71.79% ( 1.35) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -3.75) | 23.56% ( 3.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.37% ( -5.73) | 57.63% ( 5.73) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 3.43) | 29.01% ( -3.44) |
