SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sochaux | Draw | Metz |
25.83% ( 0.75) | 25.74% ( 0.43) | 48.43% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( -1.14) | 53% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( -0.98) | 74.59% ( 0.98) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( 0.02) | 35.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.72% ( 0.02) | 72.27% ( -0.03) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.98) | 21.9% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.84% ( -1.52) | 55.15% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochaux | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)Other @ 2% Total : 25.83% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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