SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochaux | Draw | Dijon |
54% ( 0) | 24.5% ( 0.1) | 21.5% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( -0.53) | 51.99% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( -0.46) | 73.72% ( 0.46) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( -0.2) | 19.18% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.14% ( -0.33) | 50.86% ( 0.33) |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.41) | 38.94% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.34% ( -0.39) | 75.66% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochaux | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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